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Microclimate Action Plan

12 September 2007 No Comment

The city introduced a climate action plan back in 2004. In case you haven’t read this *exciting* tome, I’ve done the work for you. All the numbers are circa 2004.

Goal: 20% Green House Gas (GHG) reduction by 2012 (20% below 1990 levels) – 7.2 million tons of CO2

Current GHG production/year: 9.7 million tons of CO2 produced

Potential Impacts:
* Sea level rise
* Greater beach erosion
* More frequent El Nino conditions – More rain = less snow in Sierras leading to less water available in summer.
* Marine life – unknown impacts due to changes in water flow and salinity

1990 SF GHG Emissions

The actions were broke into four categories: Transportation, Energy Efficiency, Renewable Energy, and Solid Waste. Read on for a breakdown of CO2 savings. I’ll be doing a category by category analysis over the next few days.


Transportation

Action Category CO2 Reduction (K tons/yr)
Increase Use of Public Transportation 87
Increase Use of Ridesharing 42
Increase Bicycling and Walking 10
Support Trip Reduction through Employers 28
Discourage Driving 155
Clean Air Vehicles/Increase Fleet Efficiency 641*
Subtotal 963

* 555 of this number comes from a 5 mi/gall increase in federal fuel efficiency standards (CAFE). The city has no control IF and when this would happen.

Energy Efficiency

Action Category CO2 Reduction (K tons/yr)
Increase Incentives, Direct Installation, and Tech Assistance
   Residential, Commercial, and Municipal Buildings
700
Expand Education and Outreach 36
Strengthen Legislation and Code Standards 65
Subtotal 801

Renewable Energy

Action Category CO2 Reduction (K tons/yr)
Solar 35
Wind 239
Biomass 44
Green Power Purchasing 230
Subtotal 548

Solid Waste

Action Category CO2 Reduction (K tons/yr)
Increased Residential Recycling and Composting 70
Increased Commercial Recycling and Composting 109
Expand Construction and Demolition Debris Recycling 57
Alternative Methods for recycling Materials 66
Subtotal 302

Totals

Action Category CO2 Reduction (K tons/yr)
Transportation 963
Energy Efficiency 801
Renewable Energy 548
Solid Waste 302
Totals 2,614

Takeaway
Out of the total 2.614 million tons of CO2 reduction, 21.2% comes from a federal increase in CAFE standards (5 mi/gall increase in fuel efficiency for every vehicle). Let’s be frank, we don’t know if that will happen and the city has no control over it. There is also a focus on increasing energy efficiency for businesses, most likely to be incentivized somehow (16.6%). Another big element is buying more green based power – 8.8% – (dependent on state developing more green based power for the grid) and developing wind power (9.14%). Finally, increased recycling, both commercial and residential, accounts for 11.5% reduction.

At least 30% of the reduction comes from factors not directly controllable by the city. At the same time, there are some very admirable and seemingly attainable goals when it comes to recycling and energy efficiency. It’ll be interesting to hear Melissa’s take on how the city is doing 3 years into the 8 year plan.

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